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Ottawa foot rules

For: Midfoot fracture after an ankle or foot injury (need for X-ray)

Website-only page: no separate test card in the book, which discusses this in its ‘The ankle and foot’ chapter.

A break of a midfoot bone, such as the base of the fifth metatarsal or the navicular, after an injury. The Ottawa foot rules decide who needs an X-ray; they do not diagnose the fracture.

Best used to rule out
Sensitivity99%
Specificity37.8%
LR+ (positive)1.59
LR− (negative)0.08

LR+ calculated from the pooled sensitivity and the median specificity, so it is approximate; LR− as pooled in the review.

These figures have not been confirmed against the full paper (checked against the abstract or a secondary source only).

How it is done

For a patient with pain in the midfoot zone after an acute injury. A foot X-ray is needed if ANY of these is present: (1) bone tenderness at the base of the fifth metatarsal; (2) bone tenderness at the navicular; (3) unable to bear weight for four steps both immediately after the injury and at the time of assessment. If none is present, no X-ray is needed.

What the studies found

Decision rule for foot X-ray — a rule-out tool. A negative rule makes a midfoot fracture very unlikely; a positive rule means 'X-ray', not 'fracture' (LR+ about 1.6). Bachmann et al. 2003 (systematic review, 27 studies, 15,581 patients): pooled sensitivity 99% (95% CI 97.3–100%) and LR− 0.08 (95% CI 0.03–0.20) for the midfoot. Specificity was not pooled; 37.8% is the median across studies (interquartile range 24.7–70.1%). Only 13 of the 27 pooled studies X-rayed every patient. A later meta-analysis (Barelds 2017) pooled LR− 0.14 for the combined ankle-and-foot rules. Usually applied together with the Ottawa ankle rules.

What the numbers mean

  • Positive result: barely informative: a positive result changes little.
  • Negative result: a strong rule-out: a negative result makes the diagnosis very unlikely.

The ladder: what a result does to your estimate

If you thoughtAfter a positiveAfter a negative
10%15%under 1%
30%41%3%
50%61%7%

Calculated from the likelihood ratios above. For any other starting estimate, use the probability calculator.

Work out what a result means for your patient: probability calculator

Source

Bachmann LM, Kolb E, Koller MT, Steurer J, ter Riet G. Accuracy of Ottawa ankle rules to exclude fractures of the ankle and mid-foot: systematic review. BMJ. 2003;326(7386):417. Review summary (NCBI Bookshelf) · systematic review
Also cited: Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, McKnight RD, Nair RC, McDowell I, Worthington JR. A study to develop clinical decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries. Ann Emerg Med. 1992;21(4):384–390. Journal article (DOI)
Also cited: Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, McKnight RD, et al. Decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries. Refinement and prospective validation. JAMA. 1993;269(9):1127–1132. PubMed
Also cited: Barelds I, Krijnen WP, van de Leur JP, van der Schans CP, Goddard RJ. Diagnostic accuracy of clinical decision rules to exclude fractures in acute ankle injuries: systematic review and meta-analysis. J Emerg Med. 2017;53(3):353–368. Journal article (DOI)

Website-only page, added to the library on 9 October 2026. Rule It In, Rule It Out discusses this but has no separate test card for it. Figures independently checked against the sources cited above; any note above says where only the abstract could be checked.

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The ‘The ankle and foot’ chapter of Rule It In, Rule It Out discusses this, alongside how to do and read each test in the chapter.

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