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Ottawa ankle rules

For: Ankle fracture after an ankle injury (need for X-ray)

Website-only page: no separate test card in the book, which discusses this in its ‘The ankle and foot’ chapter.

A break of the lower end of the shin bone or fibula at the ankle (the malleoli) after an injury. The Ottawa ankle rules decide who needs an X-ray; they do not diagnose the fracture.

Best used to rule out
Sensitivity98%
Specificity39.8%
LR+ (positive)1.63
LR− (negative)0.08

LR+ calculated from the pooled sensitivity and the median specificity, so it is approximate; LR− as pooled in the review.

These figures have not been confirmed against the full paper (checked against the abstract or a secondary source only).

How it is done

For a patient with pain in the malleolar zone (around the ankle bones) after an acute ankle injury. An ankle X-ray is needed if ANY of these is present: (1) bone tenderness along the distal 6 cm of the posterior edge, or at the tip, of the lateral malleolus (fibula); (2) bone tenderness along the distal 6 cm of the posterior edge, or at the tip, of the medial malleolus (tibia); (3) unable to bear weight for four steps both immediately after the injury and at the time of assessment. If none is present, no X-ray is needed.

What the studies found

Decision rule for ankle X-ray — a rule-out tool. A negative rule makes an ankle fracture very unlikely; a positive rule means 'X-ray', not 'fracture' (LR+ about 1.6). Bachmann et al. 2003 (systematic review, 27 studies, 15,581 patients): pooled sensitivity 98% (95% CI 96.3–99.3%) and LR− 0.08 (95% CI 0.03–0.18) for the ankle. Specificity was not pooled; 39.8% is the median across studies (interquartile range 27.9–47.7%). Only 13 of the 27 pooled studies X-rayed every patient. Accuracy was lower when ankle and foot were assessed together (LR− 0.17). In children (ankle and midfoot together), LR− 0.07. A later meta-analysis (Barelds 2017) pooled LR− 0.12 for the ankle rules. The rules were derived by Stiell 1992 and refined and validated by Stiell 1993.

What the numbers mean

  • Positive result: barely informative: a positive result changes little.
  • Negative result: a strong rule-out: a negative result makes the diagnosis very unlikely.

The ladder: what a result does to your estimate

If you thoughtAfter a positiveAfter a negative
10%15%under 1%
30%41%3%
50%62%7%

Calculated from the likelihood ratios above. For any other starting estimate, use the probability calculator.

Work out what a result means for your patient: probability calculator

Source

Bachmann LM, Kolb E, Koller MT, Steurer J, ter Riet G. Accuracy of Ottawa ankle rules to exclude fractures of the ankle and mid-foot: systematic review. BMJ. 2003;326(7386):417. Review summary (NCBI Bookshelf) · systematic review
Also cited: Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, McKnight RD, Nair RC, McDowell I, Worthington JR. A study to develop clinical decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries. Ann Emerg Med. 1992;21(4):384–390. Journal article (DOI)
Also cited: Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, McKnight RD, et al. Decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries. Refinement and prospective validation. JAMA. 1993;269(9):1127–1132. PubMed
Also cited: Barelds I, Krijnen WP, van de Leur JP, van der Schans CP, Goddard RJ. Diagnostic accuracy of clinical decision rules to exclude fractures in acute ankle injuries: systematic review and meta-analysis. J Emerg Med. 2017;53(3):353–368. Journal article (DOI)

Website-only page, added to the library on 9 October 2026. Rule It In, Rule It Out discusses this but has no separate test card for it. Figures independently checked against the sources cited above; any note above says where only the abstract could be checked.

Get the book for spotting a high ankle sprain, and knowing when the Achilles is torn

The ‘The ankle and foot’ chapter of Rule It In, Rule It Out discusses this, alongside how to do and read each test in the chapter.

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